The World Bank estimated the cost of reconstruction and recovery in the wake of the conflict and then the war in Lebanon at about 11 billion dollars, according to the Rapid Assessment Report for Countries and Needs in Lebanon for the year 2025 (RDNA), which evaluates damage, losses and needs in ten sectors throughout the country during the period from October 8, 2023 to November 20, 2024.
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“There is a need for funding by about 3 to 5 billion dollars by the public sector, including one billion dollars for infrastructure sectors (energy, municipal and public services, transport, water, sanitation and irrigation). While funding from the private sector will be needed by about 6 to 8 billion dollars, most of which are directed to the housing sectors, trade, industry, and tourism.”
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He pointed out that “the economic cost of the conflict in Lebanon is estimated at about 14 billion dollars, as the damage to the material ingredients amounted to about 6.8 billion dollars, while the economic losses resulting from the decrease in productivity, lost revenues, and the operating costs of about 7.2 billion dollars.”
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The report pointed out that “the housing sector is the most affected, as the damage is estimated at about 4.6 billion dollars, and the sectors of trade, industry, and tourism were greatly affected, as the losses are estimated at about 3.4 billion dollars throughout the country. In terms of geographical scope, the report concludes that the provinces of Nabatieh and the south are the most affected, followed by Mount Lebanon (which includes the suburb of Beirut Southern).
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In terms of the total economy, he explained that “the conflict led to the shrinkage of the gross domestic product of Lebanon by 7.1% in 2024, which is a large setback compared to the rate of growth estimated at 0.9% in the event that the conflict does not occur. With the end of 2024, the cumulative decline in the gross domestic product of Lebanon since 2019 is 40%, which leads to the exacerbation of the effects of the multiple economic recession The aspects, not to mention the negative effects on the prospects for economic growth in the country. “
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It is mentioned that “the rapid assessment report for damage and needs has been prepared at the request of the Lebanese government to conduct an evaluation that includes ten sectors: agriculture and food security, trade, industry and tourism, education, environment and blood flow, energy, health, housing, municipal and public services, transport, water, sanitation and irrigation.
This evaluation was prepared in close technical cooperation with the National Council for Scientific Research in Lebanon and in coordination with a number of United Nations organizations and other partner development institutions, and the report follows the methodology of evaluating post -disaster needs and recognized globally, which was developed in partnership between the European Union, the World Bank and the United Nations, and this methodology was implemented globally in the contexts Reconstruction. It is based on a hybrid methodology that relies on a mixture of ground data and remote data, including ground surveys, interviews with major sources of information collection, optical tests, satellite images, synthetic aperture radar analysis, and unknown mobile phone data, and social media analyzes.
